The Arctic and Global Prediction Program is motivated by the rapid decline in summer ice extent that has occurred in recent years. This has prompted renewed U.S. Navy interest in understanding and predicting the arctic physical environment at a variety of time and space scales. The ability to predict the location of the ice edge, the space-time evolution of the ice cover, and the ice thickness will be particularly critical to safe Navy operations in the Arctic. To achieve this, models integrating the ocean, waves, ice, and atmosphere must be able to represent the physical processes, interactions, and feedbacks involved in the seasonal evolution of ice extent, area, thickness, and volume.

The core program has three focus areas:

- Improving understanding of the physical environment and processes in the Arctic Ocean.
- Investigating new technologies (e.g., sensors, platforms, and communications) for sustained operation and observation in the challenging arctic environment.
- Developing integrated ocean-ice-wave-atmosphere earth system models for improved prediction on time scales of days to months.

Submission deadline: Friday, 27 May 2011.

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